Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.021379 0.022969 0.024624 0.026477 0.028498 0.030636 0.033073
2024-10-13 0.018588 0.020854 0.023338 0.026268 0.029643 0.033420 0.037983
2024-10-20 0.016473 0.019079 0.022044 0.025684 0.030055 0.035162 0.041622
2024-10-27 0.015327 0.018224 0.021623 0.025935 0.031299 0.037803 0.046365
2024-11-03 0.014307 0.017387 0.021099 0.025940 0.032148 0.039920 0.050515
2024-11-10 0.013608 0.016865 0.020883 0.026258 0.033343 0.042480 0.055345
2024-11-17 0.012746 0.016064 0.020240 0.025950 0.033658 0.043860 0.058643
2024-11-24 0.012074 0.015454 0.019788 0.025834 0.034183 0.045506 0.062369
2024-12-01 0.011389 0.014779 0.019199 0.025480 0.034332 0.046608 0.065354
2024-12-08 0.010925 0.014368 0.018930 0.025531 0.035024 0.048481 0.069556
2024-12-15 0.010369 0.013799 0.018411 0.025191 0.035119 0.049477 0.072482
2024-12-22 0.009809 0.013196 0.017810 0.024691 0.034938 0.050032 0.074739
2024-12-29 0.009368 0.012742 0.017399 0.024452 0.035133 0.051173 0.078015
2025-01-05 0.008955 0.012308 0.016996 0.024197 0.035285 0.052246 0.081250
2025-01-12 0.008487 0.011774 0.016422 0.023653 0.034953 0.052529 0.083179
2025-01-19 0.008275 0.011599 0.016361 0.023877 0.035822 0.054758 0.088531
2025-01-26 0.008016 0.011343 0.016166 0.023881 0.036333 0.056424 0.093021
2025-02-02 0.007850 0.011217 0.016157 0.024170 0.037311 0.058909 0.099130
2025-02-09 0.007548 0.010874 0.015803 0.023890 0.037334 0.059778 0.102367
2025-02-16 0.007308 0.010615 0.015566 0.023785 0.037638 0.061135 0.106593
2025-02-23 0.007030 0.010287 0.015208 0.023464 0.037554 0.061803 0.109555
2025-03-02 0.006854 0.010110 0.015078 0.023510 0.038098 0.063608 0.114833
2025-03-09 0.006607 0.009812 0.014746 0.023201 0.038005 0.064251 0.117862